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Barbara Stolte

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Publications by Barbara Stolte (bibliography)

1988

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Zimolong, Bernhard and Stolte, Barbara (1988): A Study of Expert Judgment on Human Error Probability. In: Proceedings of the Human Factors Society 32nd Annual Meeting 1988. pp. 954-957.

“An experiment was conducted to derive empirically human error probabilities from a task performed under 12 different conditions. The task was to control a simulated flexible manufacturing scenario (FMS) under three Performance Shaping Factors (PSF): Incentive, workload and event frequency of breakdowns. Six experts with backgrounds in human factors assess the relative contribution of each PSF in affecting the likelihood of failure with the multi attribute decomposition technique. The conversion of the assessment values to probabilities was achieved by the use of an empirically derived calibration equation. Results indicate a poor match of empirical HEPs and their estimates and increase the doubts that subjective estimation is a solution to the missing data problem in reliability measurement.”

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